Surfaces, Balls and Back-ups – The Areas Where the Iconic Series Will Be Decided
Just 48 hours remaining.
The English side's opening match in Australia gets under way on the morning of Friday.
With the help of CricViz, we look at where the most eagerly-anticipated Ashes series in years could be decided.
It’s challenging to make runs, isn't it?
Batsmen on each side of the Ashes rivalry might be questioning why they are bothering to show up.
A lot of the build-up has centred around the perceived difficulty of scoring runs, especially for the first Test on a Perth pitch labeled a "lush, challenging surface".
Regarding batting in Australia, particularly against pace bowling, no nation has been harder in which to score runs over the past five years.
Two key factors for this: wickets and balls.
Taken as a collective, the surfaces prepared in Australia have been shown to be the quickest, highest bouncing and among the least predictable in the world.
Pace and inconsistent bounce are the perfect recipe for difficult batting conditions.
A long-standing narrative from England's cricketing circles paints the Kookaburra cricket ball used in this country as a useless tool for a fast bowler.
A new version of the Kookaburra was rolled out six years ago, leading to more seam movement.
Seam bowling is a much bigger weapon than swing in Australian conditions.
Since the new Kookaburra, fast bowlers are averaging 25 runs per wicket in Australia.
Test cricket is about solving problems.
When bowlers dominate, batsmen's contributions can be the difference, and the reverse is true.
Should this series be dominated by the ball, a batter could have the opportunity to be the key factor between the two teams.
What's going on with the Australia seamers?
On this occasion, England have toured Australia with their fast-bowling unit mostly fit, while the home side are the ones affected by fitness issues.
Captain Pat Cummins will be absent for the first Test with a back issue, and Josh Hazlewood is on the sidelines for an unknown period because of a hamstring injury.
Cummins, Josh Hazlewood and Mitchell Starc were first paired as a three-pronged attack for the 2017-18 series.
From that point, they have combined to claim 81% of the dismissals taken by Australia pace bowlers in matches in Australia.
Australia have seldom needed alternatives because of the success and robustness of the 'leading trio'.
When Australia have needed a back-up, Scott Boland has been sensational, taking 62 wickets in 14 matches at an average below 17.
Aside from Boland, other bowlers of Australia's supporting cast have stepped up.
Neser, Jhye Richardson and James Pattinson all average below 30 in home Tests.
The last time Australia entered a home Test without both key bowlers, and lost, was in 2012.
On the last two occasions they have competed in Australia without the pair, they have won by a combined 694 runs, featuring a victory against England in Adelaide previously.
On the rare occasions Australia have had to go past their superstar pacemen, results have remained strong – The tourists should take heed.
Challenging Openings
Remember when England struggled to identify an opener to go alongside Alastair Cook?
Sir Chef went through partners more quickly than Watford change coaches.
No more.
Since Duckett and Zak Crawley were paired at the England opening slot at the end of 2022, no opening pair in the world has produced more runs together.
The pair's effectiveness as a partnership has been a factor in Crawley being supported through some patchy form.
Crawley, who memorably hit the initial delivery of the last Ashes series for four, has also been identified as having the technique for Australian conditions.
His batting average rises when the pace increases.
By contrast, Australia's top order is in a ongoing change, yet to fill the gap left by David Warner.
After Warner's retirement at the start of 2024, Khawaja has batted with five different partners in 15 matches.
Uncapped Jake Weatherald looks set to become the sixth opener in 16 Tests on Friday, giving Australia an all-left-handed opening pair.
It is not just the openers that has posed issues for Australia.
Marnus Labuschagne, Australia's regular number three, was shifted to open for the WTC final, then dropped entirely.
Domestic form has earned him a recall, probably back at three.
Across seven matches in 2025, the Australian top order average a collective of 25.37.
Only the opening trios of Zimbabwe and West Indies have performed worse.
Spin war
Between two closely matched sides, there is a single department where Australia are unquestionably superior – spin.
Australia's Nathan Lyon, all 562 Test wickets of him, is one of the finest finger-spin bowlers to ever play.
England's Shoaib Bashir is a moderately successful gamble, appearing out of touch after a broken finger, while Will Jacks is mainly a batsman.
It would seem logical for the home team to want Lyon at the front, but spin bowling has been extremely challenging in Australia for the last decade.
During that period, spinners have averaged almost 44 in Australia, albeit Lyon's record largely stands up compared to the difficulties of visiting tweakers.
Another challenge for Lyon is physically getting on to bowl.
Recall the potency of pace bowling?
It is reducing Lyon's time with the ball.
During the 2017-18 series here, Nathan Lyon was averaging 50 overs per Test.
In the previous year, in five Tests against the Indian team, it was half that number.
Test matches in Australia are 25% shorter since the new Kookaburra was introduced, meaning Lyon has fewer opportunities to make an impact.
Right place, right time?
The English team have a depressing habit of being beaten in an away Ashes before Father Christmas has loaded his sleigh.
Traditionally, the series began in the Gabba, where they have not won since the year 1986.
In recent times, that has been followed with a floodlit Test in Adelaide.
The visitors have one win in seven day-night matches worldwide, while the hosts have triumphed in 13 out of 14.
Then on to Perth, a venue England have played at 14 times since 1970 and emerged victorious only once, against a depleted Australia in 1978.
On this tour, the first three stops on the itinerary are the identical, only in a rearranged order and under different circumstances.
The Perth Test hosts an series opener for the first time, not at the fabled Waca – site of past English struggles – but the shiny new Perth Stadium.
It remains a difficult task, though one the visitors tackle with no past burdens.
The Gabba is the venue for the second match, the day-nighter.
The last time Australia competed in a day-night Test at the Brisbane, they were surprised by the West Indies.
Similarly, the Australians are now unaccustomed to playing day matches at the typical floodlit ground Adelaide.
Across two traditional Tests played in the City of Churches since 2014, Australia were defeated once, to the Indian team, in 2018.
The revised fixture list gives England a new opportunity at starting an away Ashes well, though with risks.
The home side have won four of the five Tests played at Perth Stadium, though the single loss came in the most recent match – against India the previous year.
Each match at the new ground has been claimed by the team setting a target.
England often overthink day-night matches, when statistics suggest the pink cricket ball does not behave very differently from its red counterpart.
The issue in {day-night matches|